Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.023999 0.025818 0.027716 0.029846 0.032174 0.034642 0.037462
2024-12-22 0.020493 0.023007 0.025766 0.029027 0.032790 0.037008 0.042116
2024-12-29 0.018362 0.021282 0.024610 0.028703 0.033628 0.039397 0.046716
2025-01-05 0.016777 0.019946 0.023669 0.028398 0.034290 0.041447 0.050890
2025-01-12 0.015352 0.018640 0.022600 0.027768 0.034398 0.042706 0.054045
2025-01-19 0.014580 0.018046 0.022322 0.028041 0.035583 0.045316 0.059037
2025-01-26 0.013788 0.017358 0.021851 0.027997 0.036303 0.047310 0.063290
2025-02-02 0.013253 0.016952 0.021698 0.028329 0.037502 0.049974 0.068608
2025-02-09 0.012550 0.016276 0.021139 0.028058 0.037832 0.051424 0.072263
2025-02-16 0.011974 0.015733 0.020715 0.027932 0.038329 0.053107 0.076334
2025-02-23 0.011420 0.015185 0.020251 0.027708 0.038651 0.054527 0.080076
2025-03-02 0.010986 0.014778 0.019953 0.027692 0.039257 0.056377 0.084580
2025-03-09 0.010454 0.014213 0.019410 0.027299 0.039287 0.057373 0.087833
2025-03-16 0.009915 0.013613 0.018789 0.026753 0.039048 0.057929 0.090398
2025-03-23 0.009504 0.013177 0.018382 0.026501 0.039237 0.059150 0.094132
2025-03-30 0.009118 0.012761 0.017982 0.026234 0.039376 0.060284 0.097779
2025-04-06 0.008677 0.012243 0.017406 0.025662 0.038991 0.060527 0.099875
2025-04-13 0.008483 0.012084 0.017360 0.025911 0.039937 0.063019 0.106129
2025-04-20 0.008227 0.011820 0.017141 0.025871 0.040400 0.064711 0.111047
2025-04-27 0.008071 0.011702 0.017138 0.026173 0.041442 0.067452 0.118117
2025-05-04 0.007792 0.011382 0.016809 0.025927 0.041535 0.068528 0.122091
2025-05-11 0.007560 0.011126 0.016568 0.025812 0.041844 0.069997 0.126929
2025-05-18 0.007320 0.010849 0.016283 0.025608 0.041982 0.071156 0.131230